J1 League Gameweek 16
Jun 3, 2023 7.00am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Shonan BMW Stadium Hiratsuka
  • Shuto Machino 2' goal
  • Kosuke Onose 83' goal
  • goal Kaito Taniguchi 30'
  • goal Kaito Taniguchi 62'

Shonan Bellmare vs Albirex Niigata - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Shonan Bellmare

All competitions
Last game
May 27, 2023 6.00am
Hiroshima 1 - 0 Shonan Bellmare
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Yuki Ohashi

Albirex Niigata

All competitions
Last game
May 28, 2023 6.00am
Albirex Niigata 1 - 3 Gamba Osaka
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Ryotaro Ito

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result

Shonan Bellmare 34.1% (-0.52)
Draw 26.71% (-0.12)
Albirex Niigata 39.19% (+0.64)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.62% (+0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.61% (+0.40)
Under 2.5 53.38% (-0.40)
Over 3.5 25.08% (+0.34)
Under 3.5 74.92% (-0.34)
Over 4.5 11.41% (+0.21)
Under 4.5 88.59% (-0.22)

Shonan Bellmare Goals

Over 0.5 70.35% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 29.65% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 34.3% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 65.69% (+0.16)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5 73.37% (+0.54)
Under 0.5 26.63% (-0.55)
Over 1.5 38.14% (+0.71)
Under 1.5 61.86% (-0.72)

Score analysis

Shonan Bellmare 34.1%
Draw 26.71%
Albirex Niigata 39.18%
Shonan Bellmare
1-0 @ 9.6% (-0.19)
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 5.83% (-0.14)
3-1 @ 3.13% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.36% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 34.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.7% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 7.89% (-0.13)
2-2 @ 5.11% (+0.04)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 26.71%
Albirex Niigata
0-1 @ 10.44% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.4% (+0.10)
0-2 @ 6.91% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 3.71% (+0.10)
0-3 @ 3.05% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 2.25% (+0.06)
1-4 @ 1.23% (+0.06)
0-4 @ 1.01% (-95.40)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 39.18%