Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.