Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 17.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Shonan Bellmare win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this match.