J1 League | Gameweek 19
Jul 1, 2023 at 11am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)

Sagan Tosu
1 - 2
Urawa

Naganuma (8')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Kante (11'), Iwao (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Urawa Red Diamonds, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-6 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, June 24 at 11am in J1 League

Urawa Red Diamonds

All competitions
Last Game: Urawa 4-1 Shonan Bellmare
Wednesday, June 28 at 11.30am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 46.78%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 26.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-0 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawUrawa Red Diamonds
26.55% (0.091000000000001 0.09)26.67% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)46.78% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 48.25% (0.134 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.95% (0.14 0.14)56.05% (-0.141 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.87% (0.113 0.11)77.13% (-0.114 -0.11)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.44% (0.153 0.15)36.56% (-0.155 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.65% (0.155 0.16)73.35% (-0.155 -0.16)
Urawa Red Diamonds Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.05% (0.028000000000006 0.03)23.95% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.82% (0.041000000000004 0.04)58.18% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 26.55%
    Urawa Red Diamonds 46.78%
    Draw 26.66%
Sagan TosuDrawUrawa Red Diamonds
1-0 @ 8.81% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.34% (0.024 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.43% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.13% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.52% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.49% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 26.55%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 8.76% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.66%
0-1 @ 12.51% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.94% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.52% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 46.78%

Head to Head
May 10, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 10
Urawa
0-2
Sagan Tosu
Naganuma (70'), Tezuka (75')
Oct 8, 2022 7am
Gameweek 32
Urawa
2-1
Sagan Tosu
Junker (40'), Koizumi (50')
Miyashiro (62')
Mar 13, 2022 6am
Gameweek 4
Sagan Tosu
1-0
Urawa
Kakita (71')
Iino (88')
Aug 14, 2021 11am
Gameweek 24
Urawa
2-1
Sagan Tosu
Akimoto (36'), Esaka (84' pen.)
Yamashita (45+1')
Nakano (34'), Koizumi (62')
Mar 6, 2021 6am
Gameweek 2
Sagan Tosu
2-0
Urawa
Yamashita (62', 81')
Sento (12'), Matsuoka (23')