J1 League | Gameweek 12
Jun 28, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Saitama Stadium 2002

Urawa
4 - 1
Shonan Bellmare

Koroki (20'), Sekine (61', 65'), Kante (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ohashi (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's J1 League clash between Urawa Red Diamonds and Shonan Bellmare, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Urawa Red Diamonds

All competitions
Last Game: Urawa 1-1 Kawasaki
Saturday, June 24 at 11.30am in J1 League

Shonan Bellmare

All competitions
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-6 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, June 24 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 56.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 19.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Shonan Bellmare win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.

Result
Urawa Red DiamondsDrawShonan Bellmare
56.08% (0.012999999999998 0.01)24.69% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)19.22% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 45.57% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.7% (0.010000000000005 0.01)55.3% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.48% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)76.52% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Urawa Red Diamonds Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.35% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)19.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.38% (0.015000000000001 0.02)51.62% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.71% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)43.29% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)79.53% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Urawa Red Diamonds 56.07%
    Shonan Bellmare 19.22%
    Draw 24.68%
Urawa Red DiamondsDrawShonan Bellmare
1-0 @ 13.84%
2-0 @ 11.25%
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 6.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.11% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-0 @ 2.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 56.07%
1-1 @ 11.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.51% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 3.95%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 24.68%
0-1 @ 7.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 4.85% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 2.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 19.22%

How you voted: Urawa vs Shonan Bellmare

Urawa Red Diamonds
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
Shonan Bellmare
0.0%
7
Head to Head
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Gameweek 30
Shonan Bellmare
0-0
Urawa
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Gameweek 3
Urawa
2-0
Shonan Bellmare
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Yonemoto (67')
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Shonan Bellmare
0-0
Urawa
Elyounoussi (24')
Jun 20, 2021 11am
Gameweek 18
Urawa
2-3
Shonan Bellmare
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Yamada (27'), Wellington (70'), Okamoto (87')
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Gameweek 31
Urawa
0-0
Shonan Bellmare
Ugajin (90+1')