J1 League | Gameweek 21
Jul 16, 2023 at 11am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai

Cerezo
2 - 0
Urawa

Ceara (8'), Croux (25')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Urawa Red Diamonds, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sagan Tosu 2-1 Cerezo
Saturday, July 8 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 0-0 FC Tokyo
Saturday, July 8 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawUrawa Red Diamonds
30.25% (0.010000000000002 0.01)28.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)41.05% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Both teams to score 44.72% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.45% (0.010999999999996 0.01)61.55% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)81.4% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.41% (0.013999999999996 0.01)36.59% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.62% (0.013999999999999 0.01)73.38% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Urawa Red Diamonds Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.52% (0.0019999999999953 0)29.47% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.52% (0.00099999999999767 0)65.48% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 30.25%
    Urawa Red Diamonds 41.05%
    Draw 28.69%
Cerezo OsakaDrawUrawa Red Diamonds
1-0 @ 10.84%
2-1 @ 6.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.45% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.23% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 1.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 30.25%
1-1 @ 13.24%
0-0 @ 10.78%
2-2 @ 4.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.69%
0-1 @ 13.17%
1-2 @ 8.09%
0-2 @ 8.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.3%
0-3 @ 3.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.66%
1-4 @ 1.01%
0-4 @ 1%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 41.05%

How you voted: Cerezo vs Urawa

Cerezo Osaka
16.7%
Draw
16.7%
Urawa Red Diamonds
66.7%
12
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 6am
Gameweek 3
Urawa
2-1
Cerezo
Sep 14, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 26
Urawa
0-1
Cerezo
Kato (24')
May 25, 2022 11am
Gameweek 15
Cerezo
2-0
Urawa
Kiyotake (67' pen.), Maikuma (89')
Yamanaka (33')
Sep 18, 2021 11am
Gameweek 29
Urawa
2-0
Cerezo
Esaka (10'), Yuruki (59')
Akimoto (75')
Apr 18, 2021 7am
Gameweek 10
Cerezo
1-0
Urawa
Maruhashi (66')

Nishi (39'), Iwanami (72'), Shibato (90+4')