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J1 League | Gameweek 21
Jul 16, 2023 at 11am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai

Cerezo
2 - 0
Urawa

Ceara (8'), Croux (25')
Croux (28'), Ceara (45+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Okubo (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Urawa Red Diamonds, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sagan Tosu 2-1 Cerezo
Saturday, July 8 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 0-0 FC Tokyo
Saturday, July 8 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Cerezo Osaka 1-3 Urawa Red Diamonds

Cerezo recorded a decent victory in the cup on Wednesday, but the visit of Urawa to Yodoko Sakura Stadium will be a much harder assignment for the hosts. The Red Diamonds look set to continue their assault on the J League's top three, and we believe they will make it 15 games unbeaten in all competitions on Sunday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawUrawa Red Diamonds
30.25% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 28.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 41.05% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Both teams to score 44.72% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.45% (0.010999999999996 0.01)61.55% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)81.4% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.41% (0.013999999999996 0.01)36.59% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.62% (0.013999999999999 0.01)73.38% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Urawa Red Diamonds Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.52% (0.0019999999999953 0)29.47% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.52% (0.00099999999999767 0)65.48% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 30.25%
    Urawa Red Diamonds 41.05%
    Draw 28.69%
Cerezo OsakaDrawUrawa Red Diamonds
1-0 @ 10.84%
2-1 @ 6.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.45% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.23% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 1.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 30.25%
1-1 @ 13.24%
0-0 @ 10.78%
2-2 @ 4.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.69%
0-1 @ 13.17%
1-2 @ 8.09%
0-2 @ 8.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.3%
0-3 @ 3.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.66%
1-4 @ 1.01%
0-4 @ 1%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 41.05%

How you voted: Cerezo vs Urawa

Cerezo Osaka
16.7%
Draw
16.7%
Urawa Red Diamonds
66.7%
12
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 6am
Sep 14, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 26
Urawa
0-1
Cerezo
Kato (24')
May 25, 2022 11am
Gameweek 15
Cerezo
2-0
Urawa
Kiyotake (67' pen.), Maikuma (89')
Yamanaka (33')
Sep 18, 2021 11am
Gameweek 29
Urawa
2-0
Cerezo
Esaka (10'), Yuruki (59')
Akimoto (75')
Apr 18, 2021 7am
Gameweek 10
Cerezo
1-0
Urawa
Maruhashi (66')

Nishi (39'), Iwanami (72'), Shibato (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1492324101429
2Machida Zelvia149232011929
3Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers148242317626
4Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa147252419523
5FC Tokyo146442523222
6Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka146441110122
7Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus147161616022
8Cerezo OsakaCerezo145541817120
9Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima134722014619
10Avispa Fukuoka144731313019
11Tokyo Verdy143922018218
12Kashiwa ReysolReysol134631415-118
13Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki144462120116
14Yokohama F MarinosYokohama124441717016
15Albirex Niigata144461721-416
16Jubilo Iwata144281821-314
17Sagan Tosu144282125-414
18Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare142571826-811
19Consadole SapporoConsadole142571226-1411
20Kyoto Sanga142391124-139


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