Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Toulouse |
44.89% ( 1.64) | 24.56% ( 0.15) | 30.55% ( -1.78) |
Both teams to score 57.46% ( -1.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.75% ( -1.4) | 45.26% ( 1.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.4% ( -1.35) | 67.6% ( 1.36) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.74% ( 0.15) | 20.27% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.39% ( 0.23) | 52.61% ( -0.23) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.07% ( -1.82) | 27.93% ( 1.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.44% ( -2.39) | 63.56% ( 2.4) |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Toulouse |
2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.57) 2-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.48) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.27) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.86% Total : 44.89% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.33) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.56% | 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.29) 0-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.29) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.81% Total : 30.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 34 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
7 | Nice | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 23 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
12 | Rennes | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 14 |
13 | NantesNantes | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 14 |
14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 8 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |