Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Toulouse |
44.89% (![]() | 24.56% (![]() | 30.55% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.46% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.75% (![]() | 45.26% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.4% (![]() | 67.6% (![]() |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.74% (![]() | 20.27% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.39% (![]() | 52.61% (![]() |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.07% (![]() | 27.93% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.44% (![]() | 63.56% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Toulouse |
2-1 @ 9.2% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.04% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.21% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.89% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.84% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.12% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.95% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.53% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.25% ( ![]() Other @ 2.86% Total : 44.89% | 1-1 @ 11.52% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.87% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.66% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.33% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.56% | 1-2 @ 7.35% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.22% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.6% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.12% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.49% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.96% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.81% Total : 30.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 36 | 11 | 25 | 33 |
2 | Nice | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 29 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
4 | Lille | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 26 |
5 | Reims | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 23 |
6 | Lens | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Brest | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 21 |
8 | NantesNantes | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 18 |
9 | Marseille | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Le HavreLe Havre | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 16 |
11 | Metz | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 16 |
12 | Rennes | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 13 |
14 | Toulouse | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 13 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 13 |
16 | Lorient | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
17 | Clermont | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 10 |
18 | Lyon | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |