MX23RW : Monday, December 4 15:44:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38
Jun 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Louis II
Toulouse
Monaco
1 - 2
Toulouse
Ben Yedder (78')
Aguilar (12')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Aboukhlal (70'), Healey (90+4')
Sierro (58'), Healey (90+5')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rennes 2-0 Monaco
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Monaco 3-1 Toulouse

Sitting outside the top five on goal difference, Monaco should strengthen their bid for European football with a relatively comfortable victory over Toulouse, who have nothing to play for on the final day of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
MonacoDrawToulouse
44.89% (1.64 1.64) 24.56% (0.146 0.15) 30.55% (-1.782 -1.78)
Both teams to score 57.46% (-1.35 -1.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.75% (-1.396 -1.4)45.26% (1.402 1.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.4% (-1.352 -1.35)67.6% (1.357 1.36)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.74% (0.14800000000001 0.15)20.27% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.39% (0.23 0.23)52.61% (-0.225 -0.23)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.07% (-1.823 -1.82)27.93% (1.829 1.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.44% (-2.389 -2.39)63.56% (2.396 2.4)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 44.89%
    Toulouse 30.55%
    Draw 24.56%
MonacoDrawToulouse
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.162 0.16)
1-0 @ 9.04% (0.569 0.57)
2-0 @ 7.21% (0.484 0.48)
3-1 @ 4.89% (0.107 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.84% (0.274 0.27)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.051 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.53% (0.115 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 44.89%
1-1 @ 11.52% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.203 -0.2)
0-0 @ 5.66% (0.333 0.33)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.56%
1-2 @ 7.35% (-0.287 -0.29)
0-1 @ 7.22% (0.064 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.6% (-0.201 -0.2)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.294 -0.29)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.223 -0.22)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.194 -0.19)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.152 -0.15)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 30.55%

How you voted: Monaco vs Toulouse

Monaco
64.3%
Draw
23.8%
Toulouse
11.9%
42
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
gameweek 14
Toulouse
0-2
Monaco
Golovin (46'), Embolo (60')
May 16, 2020 7pm
Dec 4, 2019 6pm
gameweek 16
Toulouse
1-2
Monaco
Sanogo (40' pen.)
Ben Yedder (5' pen.), Martins (84')
Glik (39')
Feb 2, 2019 7pm
gameweek 23
Monaco
2-1
Toulouse
Golovin (15'), Fabregas (62')
Ballo-Toure (9'), Jemerson (90')
Jullien (20')
Gradel (45'), Diakite (50'), Sylla (60')
Sep 15, 2018 7pm
gameweek 5
Toulouse
1-1
Monaco
Leya Iseka (79')
Amian (38'), Gradel (73')
Tielemans (57')
Jemerson (28'), Henrichs (48'), Diop (81')
rhs 2.0
MLS Apple TV+ Messi promo
Today's games header
FT
Chiefs
19-27
Packers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14103136112533
2Nice14851145929
3MonacoMonaco1483329191027
4Lille147521911826
5Reims147252019123
6Lens146441915422
7Brest136341714321
8NantesNantes145361823-518
9Marseille134541514117
10Le HavreLe Havre143741215-316
11Metz144461522-716
12Rennes143651919015
13Montpellier HSCMontpellier143561720-313
14Toulouse142751418-413
15StrasbourgStrasbourg133461118-713
16Lorient142661825-712
17Clermont14248921-1210
18Lyon131481124-137

MLS Apple TV+ Messi promo
New Apple Music general promo - 300x250

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!