Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.55%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Monaco win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.