Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.55%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Monaco win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Lille |
| 32.07% ( | 23.53% ( | 44.39% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.87% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.21% ( | 39.79% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.85% ( | 62.14% ( |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.7% ( | 24.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.32% ( | 58.68% ( |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.74% ( | 18.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.69% ( | 49.31% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Lille |
| 2-1 @ 7.55% ( 1-0 @ 6.28% ( 2-0 @ 4.44% ( 3-1 @ 3.56% ( 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 3-0 @ 2.09% ( 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.79% Total : 32.07% | 1-1 @ 10.67% 2-2 @ 6.42% 0-0 @ 4.44% ( 3-3 @ 1.72% ( Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.53% | 1-2 @ 9.08% 0-1 @ 7.55% ( 0-2 @ 6.42% ( 1-3 @ 5.14% ( 2-3 @ 3.64% ( 0-3 @ 3.64% ( 1-4 @ 2.19% ( 2-4 @ 1.55% ( 0-4 @ 1.55% ( Other @ 3.66% Total : 44.39% |