Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Monaco |
| 45.45% ( | 23.81% ( | 30.74% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.2% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.3% ( | 41.7% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.9% ( | 64.1% ( |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.41% ( | 18.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.13% ( | 49.87% ( |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.95% ( | 26.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.91% ( | 61.09% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Monaco |
| 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 1-0 @ 8.15% ( 2-0 @ 6.85% 3-1 @ 5.17% ( 3-0 @ 3.84% ( 3-2 @ 3.48% ( 4-1 @ 2.18% ( 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 4-2 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 3.48% Total : 45.45% | 1-1 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0-0 @ 4.84% ( 3-3 @ 1.56% ( Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.81% | 1-2 @ 7.37% ( 0-1 @ 6.51% ( 0-2 @ 4.38% ( 1-3 @ 3.31% 2-3 @ 2.78% 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 1-4 @ 1.11% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.38% Total : 30.74% |