Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Monaco had a probability of 21.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Monaco win it was 1-2 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Monaco |
| 56.96% ( | 21.73% ( | 21.31% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.99% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.61% ( | 40.39% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.23% ( | 62.77% ( |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.99% ( | 14.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.45% ( | 41.55% ( |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.43% ( | 32.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.9% ( | 69.1% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rennes | Draw | Monaco |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% 1-0 @ 8.97% ( 2-0 @ 8.81% ( 3-1 @ 6.48% ( 3-0 @ 5.77% ( 3-2 @ 3.63% ( 4-1 @ 3.18% ( 4-0 @ 2.84% ( 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 5-1 @ 1.25% ( 5-0 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 3.24% Total : 56.96% | 1-1 @ 10.06% ( 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0-0 @ 4.56% ( 3-3 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.73% | 1-2 @ 5.64% ( 0-1 @ 5.12% ( 0-2 @ 2.87% ( 1-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.42% Total : 21.31% |