Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 36.54%. A win for Roma had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
Toulouse	Draw	Roma
36.54% ( -0.19)	27.47% ( -0.06)	35.99% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 49.42% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.76% (

0.24)

56.24% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.72% (

0.19)

77.28% (

-0.19)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.47% (

29.53% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.45% (

65.55% (

-0.01)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.13% (

0.27)

29.87% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.04% (

0.33)

65.96% (

-0.33)

Score Analysis

Toulouse 36.53%

Roma 35.98%

Draw 27.47%

Toulouse	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.22% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 36.53%	1-1 @ 13% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.47%	0-1 @ 10.65% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.39% Total : 35.98%