Club Friendlies 1
Aug 6, 2023 6.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Thijs Dallinga 5' goal
  • Zakaria Aboukhlal 74' yellowcard
  • Yanis Begraoui 90' goal
  • goal Paulo Dybala 26'
  • yellowcard Zeki Celik 69'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Pellegrini 74'
  • yellowcard Bryan Cristante 90'+2'

Toulouse vs Roma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last game
Jul 25, 2023 6.00pm
Toulouse 0 - 2 Norwich

Roma

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last game
Aug 2, 2023 7.45pm
Farense 2 - 4 Roma

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 36.54%. A win for Roma had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result

Toulouse 36.54% (-0.19)
Draw 27.47% (-0.07)
Roma 35.99% (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.42% (+0.20)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.76% (+0.24)
Under 2.5 56.24% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 22.72% (+0.20)
Under 3.5 77.28% (-0.20)
Over 4.5 9.94% (+0.12)
Under 4.5 90.06% (-0.12)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5 70.47% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 29.53% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 34.45% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 65.55% (-0.01)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 70.13% (+0.27)
Under 0.5 29.87% (-0.28)
Over 1.5 34.04% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 65.96% (-0.33)

Score analysis

Toulouse 36.53%
Draw 27.47%
Roma 35.98%
Toulouse
1-0 @ 10.75% (-0.10)
2-1 @ 7.93% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.56% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 3.22% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.67% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.95% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 36.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 13% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.82% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.79% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.47%
Roma
0-1 @ 10.65% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.85% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 6.44% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.16% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.59% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.93% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 35.98%