Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 36.55%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (11.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
SC Farense	Draw	Roma
34.7% ( 0.96)	28.74% ( 0.66)	36.55% ( -1.62)

Both teams to score 45.57% (

-1.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.04% (

-2.28)

60.96% (

2.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.04% (

-1.74)

80.97% (

1.74)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.91% (

-0.54)

33.09% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.31% (

-0.6)

69.69% (

0.61)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.11% (

-2.14)

31.89% (

2.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.67% (

-2.52)

68.33% (

2.52)

Score Analysis

SC Farense 34.7%

Roma 36.55%

Draw 28.74%

SC Farense	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 11.66% ( 0.8) 2-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.35) 3-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.56% Total : 34.7%	1-1 @ 13.33% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.87) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.27) Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.74%	0-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.37) 0-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.32) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.21) Other @ 2.84% Total : 36.55%