Roma

4 - 0

Estrela Amadora

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 64.77%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 14.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.