Estrela Amadora
Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Dec 17, 2022 at 7pm UK
Estádio José Gomes da Costa
Penafiel

Estrela Amadora
1 - 1
Penafiel

N'do (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Semedo (90+6')
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between Estrela Amadora and Penafiel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

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Last Game: Moreirense 4-2 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, November 27 at 5pm in Taca da Liga
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Penafiel

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Last Game: Benfica 2-0 Penafiel
Saturday, November 26 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Penafiel had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Penafiel win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Estrela AmadoraDrawPenafiel
37.64% (-0.632 -0.63)27.09% (0.019000000000002 0.02)35.27% (0.615 0.62)
Both teams to score 50.58% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.24% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)54.76% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.92% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)76.07% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.84% (-0.377 -0.38)28.15% (0.378 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.16% (-0.481 -0.48)63.84% (0.481 0.48)
Penafiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.41% (0.375 0.38)29.59% (-0.375 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.37% (0.454 0.45)65.62% (-0.453 -0.45)
Score Analysis
    Estrela Amadora 37.63%
    Penafiel 35.26%
    Draw 27.08%
Estrela AmadoraDrawPenafiel
1-0 @ 10.55% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.081000000000001 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.69% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-1 @ 3.44% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.83% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 37.63%
1-1 @ 12.85% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.33% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27.08%
0-1 @ 10.14% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 7.83% (0.087 0.09)
0-2 @ 6.18% (0.133 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.18% (0.068 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.51% (0.079 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 35.26%

How you voted: Estrela Amadora vs Penafiel

Estrela Amadora
55.6%
Draw
33.3%
Penafiel
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Aug 1, 2021 11am
Second Round
Estrela Amadora
0-1
Penafiel

Garcias Neves Maria (88'), Dantas (90+4')
Porfirio Maximiano Rodrigo (37')
Pedro Magalhaes Valente (50'), Pedro da Silva e Sousa (65'), Farias (66'), Edgar Neto Vaz (90+3')