Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1

Aug 13, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau

Nantes
1 - 2
Toulouse

Mohamed (13' pen.)
Coco (2'), Pallois (18')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Aboukhlal (62'), Nicolaisen (90+1')
Costa (52'), Sierro (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Nantes
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Toulouse

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Toulouse 2-1 Roma
Sunday, August 6 at 6.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
Nantes	Draw	Toulouse
35.04% ( 0.09)	25.68% ( 0.05)	39.28% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 55.2% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.12% (

-0.2)

48.87% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.03% (

-0.18)

70.97% (

0.19)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.12% (

-0.04)

26.88% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.8% (

-0.06)

62.2% (

0.06)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.49% (

-0.16)

24.5% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.03% (

-0.23)

58.96% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Nantes 35.04%

Toulouse 39.28%

Draw 25.68%

Nantes	Draw	Toulouse
1-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 35.04%	1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.68%	0-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.84% Total : 39.28%