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Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 37
May 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
Nantes
Lille
2 - 1
Nantes
David (51' pen., 88' pen.)
Balepa (44'), David (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Merlin (17')
Castelletto (36'), Victor (79'), Mohamed (86'), Blas (87')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 2-1 Marseille
Saturday, May 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 2-0 Nantes

With both sides in need of a result at the back end of the campaign, we certainly anticipate a competitive encounter but expect Fonseca's side to have too much quality for their struggling visitors and take all three points on home turf as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 73.29%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 9.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.77%) and 3-0 (10.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
LilleDrawNantes
73.29% (1.098 1.1) 17.05% (-0.554 -0.55) 9.66% (-0.5451 -0.55)
Both teams to score 44.59% (-0.235 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.77% (0.85400000000001 0.85)43.23% (-0.855 -0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.37% (0.839 0.84)65.63% (-0.839 -0.84)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.69% (0.509 0.51)10.31% (-0.509 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.26% (1.147 1.15)33.73% (-1.147 -1.15)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.71% (-0.546 -0.55)50.28% (0.545 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.14% (-0.378 -0.38)84.85% (0.378 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Lille 73.28%
    Nantes 9.66%
    Draw 17.05%
LilleDrawNantes
2-0 @ 13.38% (0.08 0.08)
1-0 @ 11.77% (-0.19 -0.19)
3-0 @ 10.13% (0.266 0.27)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
3-1 @ 6.97% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
4-0 @ 5.76% (0.273 0.27)
4-1 @ 3.96% (0.128 0.13)
5-0 @ 2.62% (0.177 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.8% (0.096 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.023 0.02)
6-0 @ 0.99% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 73.28%
1-1 @ 8.1% (-0.261 -0.26)
0-0 @ 5.18% (-0.198 -0.2)
2-2 @ 3.16% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 17.05%
0-1 @ 3.56% (-0.194 -0.19)
1-2 @ 2.78% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-2 @ 1.23% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 9.66%

How you voted: Lille vs Nantes

Lille
77.3%
Draw
13.6%
Nantes
9.1%
22
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2022 8pm
gameweek 2
Nantes
1-1
Lille
Simon (28')
Girotto (90')
Ismaily (76')
Zedadka (14'), Djalo (18'), Fonte (18'), Andre (37')
Mar 19, 2022 8pm
gameweek 29
Nantes
0-1
Lille

Moutoussamy (53'), Blas (81'), Da Silva (86')
Onana (41')
Xeka (15'), Andre (64'), Bamba (79'), Bradaric (86')
Weah (64')
Nov 27, 2021 4pm
gameweek 15
Lille
1-1
Nantes
Yilmaz (9')
Onana (62')
Blas (24')
Girotto (21'), Blas (48')
Da Silva (78')
Feb 7, 2021 4pm
gameweek 24
Nantes
0-2
Lille

Coco (29'), Corchia (31'), Louza (32')
David (9', 83')
Sep 25, 2020 8pm
gameweek 5
Lille
2-0
Nantes
Pallois (43' og.), Yilmaz (87' pen.)

Appiah (85'), Girotto (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14103136112533
2Nice14851145929
3MonacoMonaco1483329191027
4Lille147521911826
5Reims147252019123
6Lens146441915422
7Brest136341714321
8NantesNantes145361823-518
9Marseille134541514117
10Le HavreLe Havre143741215-316
11Metz144461522-716
12Rennes143651919015
13Montpellier HSCMontpellier143561720-313
14Toulouse142751418-413
15StrasbourgStrasbourg133461118-713
16Lorient142661825-712
17Clermont14248921-1210
18Lyon131481124-137

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