/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flillog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnanlog.png)
-
Jonathan David
51'
-
Jonathan David
88'
-
Quentin Merlin
17'
Lille vs Nantes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F07%2Fpaulo-fonseca.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 73.29%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 9.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.77%) and 3-0 (10.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
Result
Lille
73.29%
▲
(+1.10)
Draw
17.05%
▼
(-0.56)
Nantes
9.66%
▼
(-0.55)
Both Teams to Score:
44.59%
▼
(-0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.77%
▲
(+0.86)
Under 2.5
43.23%
▼
(-0.86)
Over 3.5
34.37%
▲
(+0.84)
Under 3.5
65.63%
▼
(-0.84)
Over 4.5
17.8%
▲
(+0.62)
Under 4.5
82.2%
▼
(-0.62)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5
89.69%
▲
(+0.51)
Under 0.5
10.31%
▼
(-0.51)
Over 1.5
66.26%
▲
(+1.15)
Under 1.5
33.73%
▼
(-1.15)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5
49.71%
▼
(-0.55)
Under 0.5
50.28%
▲
(+0.55)
Over 1.5
15.14%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 1.5
84.85%
▲
(+0.38)
Score analysis
Lille
73.28%
Draw
17.05%
Nantes
9.66%
Lille
2-0
@
13.38%
▲
(+0.09)
1-0 @ 11.77% ▼ (-0.20)
3-0 @ 10.13% ▲ (+0.27)
2-1 @ 9.2% ▼ (-0.10)
3-1 @ 6.97% ▲ (+0.08)
4-0 @ 5.76% ▲ (+0.28)
4-1 @ 3.96% ▲ (+0.13)
5-0 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.18)
3-2 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.10)
4-2 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 73.28%
1-0 @ 11.77% ▼ (-0.20)
3-0 @ 10.13% ▲ (+0.27)
2-1 @ 9.2% ▼ (-0.10)
3-1 @ 6.97% ▲ (+0.08)
4-0 @ 5.76% ▲ (+0.28)
4-1 @ 3.96% ▲ (+0.13)
5-0 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.18)
3-2 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.10)
4-2 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 73.28%
Draw
1-1
@
8.1%
▼
(-0.27)
0-0 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.20)
2-2 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 17.05%
0-0 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.20)
2-2 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 17.05%
Nantes
0-1
@
3.56%
▼
(-0.20)
1-2 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.14)
0-2 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 9.66%
1-2 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.14)
0-2 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 9.66%
Timothy Weah
64'