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Ligue 1

Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 37
May 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
Nantes

Lille
2 - 1
Nantes

David (51' pen., 88' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Merlin (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Marseille
Saturday, May 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Nantes

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-3 Montpellier
Saturday, May 20 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 73.29%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 9.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.77%) and 3-0 (10.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
LilleDrawNantes
73.29% (1.098 1.1)17.05% (-0.554 -0.55)9.66% (-0.5451 -0.55)
Both teams to score 44.59% (-0.235 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.77% (0.85400000000001 0.85)43.23% (-0.855 -0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.37% (0.839 0.84)65.63% (-0.839 -0.84)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.69% (0.509 0.51)10.31% (-0.509 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.26% (1.147 1.15)33.73% (-1.147 -1.15)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.71% (-0.546 -0.55)50.28% (0.545 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.14% (-0.378 -0.38)84.85% (0.378 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Lille 73.28%
    Nantes 9.66%
    Draw 17.05%
LilleDrawNantes
2-0 @ 13.38% (0.08 0.08)
1-0 @ 11.77% (-0.19 -0.19)
3-0 @ 10.13% (0.266 0.27)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
3-1 @ 6.97% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
4-0 @ 5.76% (0.273 0.27)
4-1 @ 3.96% (0.128 0.13)
5-0 @ 2.62% (0.177 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.8% (0.096 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.023 0.02)
6-0 @ 0.99% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 73.28%
1-1 @ 8.1% (-0.261 -0.26)
0-0 @ 5.18% (-0.198 -0.2)
2-2 @ 3.16% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 17.05%
0-1 @ 3.56% (-0.194 -0.19)
1-2 @ 2.78% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-2 @ 1.23% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 9.66%

How you voted: Lille vs Nantes

Lille
77.3%
Draw
13.6%
Nantes
9.1%
22
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2022 8pm
gameweek 2
Nantes
1-1
Lille
Simon (28')
Girotto (90')
Ismaily (76')
Zedadka (14'), Djalo (18'), Fonte (18'), Andre (37')
Mar 19, 2022 8pm
gameweek 29
Nantes
0-1
Lille

Moutoussamy (53'), Blas (81'), Da Silva (86')
Onana (41')
Xeka (15'), Andre (64'), Bamba (79'), Bradaric (86')
Weah (64')
Nov 27, 2021 4pm
gameweek 15
Lille
1-1
Nantes
Yilmaz (9')
Onana (62')
Blas (24')
Girotto (21'), Blas (48')
Da Silva (78')
Feb 7, 2021 4pm
gameweek 24
Nantes
0-2
Lille

Coco (29'), Corchia (31'), Louza (32')
David (9', 83')
Sep 25, 2020 8pm
gameweek 5
Lille
2-0
Nantes
Pallois (43' og.), Yilmaz (87' pen.)

Appiah (85'), Girotto (90+4')