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Ligue 1

Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 36
May 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
Marseille

Lille
2 - 1
Marseille

David (50' pen.), Bamba (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Clauss (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions
Last Game: Monaco 0-0 Lille
Sunday, May 14 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Marseille

All competitions
Last Game: Marseille 3-1 Angers
Sunday, May 14 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 48.12%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 26.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
LilleDrawMarseille
48.12% (0.265 0.27)25.64% (-0.093 -0.09)26.23% (-0.166 -0.17)
Both teams to score 50.99% (0.151 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.64% (0.262 0.26)52.36% (-0.256 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.96% (0.226 0.23)74.04% (-0.22 -0.22)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.23% (0.229 0.23)21.76% (-0.223 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.05% (0.343 0.34)54.95% (-0.338 -0.34)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.17% (0.0049999999999955 0)34.83% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)71.56%
Score Analysis
    Lille 48.12%
    Marseille 26.23%
    Draw 25.64%
LilleDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 11.55% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.81% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.73% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.48% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.8% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 48.12%
1-1 @ 12.19% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.58% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 8% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-2 @ 6.43% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.22% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 26.23%

How you voted: Lille vs Marseille

Lille
34.6%
Draw
29.6%
Marseille
35.8%
81
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2022 8pm
gameweek 7
Marseille
2-1
Lille
Sanchez (26'), Gigot (61')
Balerdi (14')
Ismaily (12')
Jan 16, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 21
Marseille
1-1
Lille
Under (75')
Guendouzi (4')
Botman (15')
Andre (30'), Grbic (55'), Celik (55'), Lihadji (86')
Andre (32')
Oct 3, 2021 4pm
gameweek 9
Lille
2-0
Marseille
David (28', 90+4')
Mandava (11'), Yilmaz (66')

Under (24'), Balerdi (37')
Under (77')
Mar 3, 2021 8pm
gameweek 28
Lille
2-0
Marseille
David (90', 90+2')
Sep 20, 2020 8pm
gameweek 4
Marseille
1-1
Lille
Germain (85')
Nagatomo (21'), Thauvin (58'), Gonzalez (65')
Araujo (47')
Andre (50'), Bradaric (58'), Sanches (80')
rhs 2.0


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