Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 48.12%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 26.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Marseille |
48.12% ( 0.27) | 25.64% ( -0.09) | 26.23% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 50.99% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.64% ( 0.26) | 52.36% ( -0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.96% ( 0.23) | 74.04% ( -0.22) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.23% ( 0.23) | 21.76% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.05% ( 0.34) | 54.95% ( -0.34) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.17% ( 0) | 34.83% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.44% ( 0.01) | 71.56% |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 11.55% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.3% Total : 48.12% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 8% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.12% Total : 26.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 30 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 69 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Marseille | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
9 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 28 |
17 | Lorient | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |