Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 35

May 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
3 - 1
Angers

Sanchez (34'), Payet (48'), Veretout (77' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sima (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Angers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions

Last Game: Lens 2-1 Marseille
Saturday, May 6 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Angers

All competitions

Last Game: Angers 1-2 Monaco
Sunday, May 7 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 79.58%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Angers had a probability of 7.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.14%), while for an Angers win it was 1-2 (2.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Marseille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Marseille.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Angers
79.58% ( -0.04)	13.09% ( 0.03)	7.32% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 48.84% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.93% (

-0.06)

32.06% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.36% (

-0.07)

53.64% (

0.08)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.69% (

-0.02)

6.3% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.27% (

-0.06)

23.72% (

0.06)

Angers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.13% (

47.87% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.86% (

-0)

83.13% (

Score Analysis

Marseille 79.57%

Angers 7.32%

Draw 13.09%

Marseille	Draw	Angers
2-0 @ 11.52% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 10.62% 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.82% ( -0) 4-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 3.76% Total : 79.57%	1-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.13% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 13.09%	1-2 @ 2.26% ( 0) 0-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 7.32%