Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 79.58%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Angers had a probability of 7.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.14%), while for an Angers win it was 1-2 (2.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Marseille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Marseille.