Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 46.69% ( | 25.16% ( | 28.15% |
| Both teams to score 53.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.84% | 49.16% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.77% | 71.23% ( |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.92% | 21.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.1% ( | 53.89% ( |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.38% | 31.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.97% ( | 68.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 1-0 @ 10.37% 2-1 @ 9.3% 2-0 @ 8.08% 3-1 @ 4.83% ( 3-0 @ 4.19% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.63% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.54% Total : 46.68% | 1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.67% ( 2-2 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 7.67% 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0-2 @ 4.42% 1-3 @ 2.64% 2-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.79% Total : 28.15% |