Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 66.22%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 15.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 3-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lorient |
| 66.22% ( | 18.16% ( | 15.62% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.82% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.08% ( | 32.91% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.37% ( | 54.62% ( |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.73% ( | 9.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.68% ( | 31.31% |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.94% ( | 34.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.25% ( | 70.74% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lorient |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 2-0 @ 8.93% ( 3-1 @ 7.63% 1-0 @ 7.51% ( 3-0 @ 7.08% ( 4-1 @ 4.54% 4-0 @ 4.21% ( 3-2 @ 4.11% ( 4-2 @ 2.44% ( 5-1 @ 2.16% 5-0 @ 2% ( 5-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 4.84% Total : 66.22% | 1-1 @ 8.09% ( 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0-0 @ 3.16% ( 3-3 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 18.16% | 1-2 @ 4.36% ( 0-1 @ 3.4% 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0-2 @ 1.83% ( 1-3 @ 1.56% ( Other @ 2.61% Total : 15.62% |