Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.