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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lorient logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38
Jun 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
Strasbourg
Lorient
2 - 1
Strasbourg
Faivre (10', 36')
Abergel (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Clermont 2-0 Lorient
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-1 PSG
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lorient 2-2 Strasbourg

With both sides only playing for pride, the two could take their foot off the pedal and play with more freedom here. Strasbourg have been impressive in attack in particular despite their lowly league position, and they could well take something from this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
LorientDrawStrasbourg
31.22% (0.177 0.18) 27.19% (0.575 0.58) 41.58% (-0.757 -0.76)
Both teams to score 49.33% (-1.671 -1.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.07% (-2.166 -2.17)55.92% (2.162 2.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.97% (-1.791 -1.79)77.02% (1.787 1.79)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.12% (-0.98999999999999 -0.99)32.88% (0.986 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.54% (-1.116 -1.12)69.45% (1.112 1.11)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.49% (-1.385 -1.39)26.5% (1.382 1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.3% (-1.873 -1.87)61.69% (1.871 1.87)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 31.22%
    Strasbourg 41.58%
    Draw 27.19%
LorientDrawStrasbourg
1-0 @ 9.69% (0.537 0.54)
2-1 @ 7.16% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.39% (0.159 0.16)
3-1 @ 2.65% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-0 @ 2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.14 -0.14)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 31.22%
1-1 @ 12.87% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 8.71% (0.702 0.7)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.239 -0.24)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.19%
0-1 @ 11.57% (0.51 0.51)
1-2 @ 8.55% (-0.191 -0.19)
0-2 @ 7.68% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.78% (-0.241 -0.24)
0-3 @ 3.4% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.195 -0.2)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.134 -0.13)
0-4 @ 1.13% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 41.58%

How you voted: Lorient vs Strasbourg

Lorient
20.0%
Draw
40.0%
Strasbourg
40.0%
20
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2022 4.05pm
gameweek 15
Strasbourg
1-1
Lorient
Diallo (87')
Moffi (5')
Mar 20, 2022 2pm
gameweek 29
Lorient
0-0
Strasbourg

Innocent (22'), Ouattara (76')

Bellegarde (29'), Perrin (89')
Oct 31, 2021 2pm
gameweek 12
Strasbourg
4-0
Lorient
Ajorque (28'), Diallo (39', 45+1'), Thomasson (64')
Sissoko (36')
May 23, 2021 8pm
gameweek 38
Strasbourg
1-1
Lorient
Diallo (18')
Carole (10')
Chalobah (55')
Laporte (53')
Aug 23, 2020 2pm
gameweek 1
Lorient
3-1
Strasbourg
Wissa (51'), Grbic (60' pen.), Hamel (87')
Boisgard (69'), Wadja (72'), Laporte (79')
Chahiri (30')
Simakan (37'), Carole (82')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14103136112533
2Nice14851145929
3MonacoMonaco1483329191027
4Lille147521911826
5Reims147252019123
6Lens146441915422
7Brest136341714321
8NantesNantes145361823-518
9Marseille134541514117
10Le HavreLe Havre143741215-316
11Metz144461522-716
12Rennes143651919015
13Montpellier HSCMontpellier143561720-313
14Toulouse142751418-413
15StrasbourgStrasbourg133461118-713
16Lorient142661825-712
17Clermont14248921-1210
18Lyon131481124-137

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