Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 2

Aug 18, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz
2 - 2
Marseille

Sabaly (65'), Mikautadze (71')
N'Doram (9'), Boloni (55+55'), Mbaye (90'), Oukidja (90+8')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Soglo (14'), Oliveira (82')
Lodi (49'), Veretout (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Metz

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Rennes 5-1 Metz
Sunday, August 13 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Panathinaikos (2-4 pen.)
Tuesday, August 15 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Metz had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.87%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Metz	Draw	Marseille
31.81% ( -0.03)	28.92% ( -0.13)	39.26% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 44.63% (

0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.09% (

0.42)

61.9% (

-0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.33% (

0.31)

81.67% (

-0.31)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.39% (

0.21)

35.61% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.62% (

0.21)

72.38% (

-0.21)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.3% (

0.31)

30.7% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.05% (

0.36)

66.95% (

-0.36)

Score Analysis

Metz 31.81%

Marseille 39.25%

Draw 28.92%

Metz	Draw	Marseille
1-0 @ 11.28% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.01% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.05% Total : 31.81%	1-1 @ 13.33% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.92%	0-1 @ 12.9% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 7.62% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.24% Total : 39.25%