Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Niort had a probability of 17.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.52%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Niort win it was 1-0 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.

Result
Niort	Draw	Metz
17.15% ( 0.1)	22.72% ( 0.09)	60.13% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 47.61% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.37% (

-0.21)

50.63% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.46% (

-0.18)

72.54% (

0.19)

Niort Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.99%

43.01% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.7% (

-0)

79.3% (

0.01)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.55% (

-0.13)

16.45% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.86% (

-0.25)

46.14% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Niort 17.15%

Metz 60.13%

Draw 22.71%

Niort	Draw	Metz
1-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.28% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 1.69% Total : 17.15%	1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 22.71%	0-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 11.52% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.93% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.85% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 3.13% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.64% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.9% Total : 60.13%