Ligue 2 | Gameweek 32
Apr 22, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Rene Gaillard
Caen

Niort
1 - 2
Caen

Mandrea (55' og.)
FT(HT: 0-2)
Thomas (13'), Kilama (32' og.)
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Niort and Caen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Niort

All competitions
Last Game: Valenciennes 0-0 Niort
Saturday, April 15 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Caen

All competitions
Last Game: Caen 3-1 Paris FC
Saturday, April 15 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 53.28%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Niort had a probability of 21.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.06%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Niort win it was 1-0 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.

Result
NiortDrawCaen
21.99% (0.154 0.15)24.73% (0.088999999999999 0.09)53.28% (-0.237 -0.24)
Both teams to score 49.31% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.64% (-0.18 -0.18)52.37% (0.187 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.95% (-0.155 -0.16)74.05% (0.16200000000001 0.16)
Niort Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.34% (0.051000000000002 0.05)38.67% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.6% (0.046000000000003 0.05)75.41% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.39% (-0.16000000000001 -0.16)19.62% (0.167 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.44% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)51.57% (0.274 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Niort 21.99%
    Caen 53.28%
    Draw 24.72%
NiortDrawCaen
1-0 @ 7.21% (0.062 0.06)
2-1 @ 5.58% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 3.42% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.77% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.44% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.09% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 21.99%
1-1 @ 11.73% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.58% (0.056 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 24.72%
0-1 @ 12.35% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 10.06% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.56% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.46% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.19% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.23% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.11% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 53.28%

Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 6pm
gameweek 11
Caen
1-0
Niort
Kyeremeh (45+5')

Vallier (43')
Jan 28, 2022 6pm
gameweek 20
Caen
0-2
Niort

Goncalves (52'), da Costa (66'), Shamal (85')
Court (90+4')
Sissoko (4', 48')
Moutachy (6'), Cassubie (45+1')
Jul 31, 2021 6pm
gameweek 2
Niort
0-1
Caen

Yongwa (33')
Yongwa (64')
Mendy (48')
Wadja (25'), Deminguet (46')
Feb 13, 2021 6pm
gameweek 25
Caen
1-0
Niort
Weber (74')
Vandermersch (51'), Court (58')

Yongwa (47'), Lebeau (81')
Oct 17, 2020 6pm
gameweek 7
Niort
3-0
Caen
Ibnou Ba (16'), Bourhane (68'), Jacob (80')
Moutachy (56')