Caen
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 29
Apr 1, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Dijon

Caen
2 - 1
Dijon

Brahimi (60'), Mendy (70' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Toure (2')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Dijon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Caen 2-1 Valenciennes
Saturday, March 18 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Dijon 0-1 Pau
Saturday, March 18 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 50.94%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 21.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Dijon win it was 0-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.

Result
CaenDrawDijon
50.94% (0.0040000000000049 0)27.3% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)21.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 42.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.41% (0.0039999999999978 0)61.59% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.56% (0.0019999999999989 0)81.43% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.45% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.11% (0.0049999999999955 0)58.89% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Dijon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.81% (0.00099999999999767 0)44.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.72% (0.0010000000000012 0)80.27% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Caen 50.92%
    Dijon 21.76%
    Draw 27.29%
CaenDrawDijon
1-0 @ 15.21%
2-0 @ 10.71%
2-1 @ 8.75% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.11%
4-0 @ 1.77%
3-2 @ 1.68% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 50.92%
1-1 @ 12.42%
0-0 @ 10.8%
2-2 @ 3.58%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 27.29%
0-1 @ 8.82% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.08%
0-2 @ 3.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.38%
0-3 @ 0.98%
2-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 21.76%

Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 6pm
Dijon
2-2
Caen
Silva (60'), Soumare (90' pen.)
Le Bihan (45+2'), Congre (66'), Thioune (79')
Mendy (49'), Traore (87' og.)
Daubin (76'), Abdi (89')
Mar 5, 2022 6pm
Dijon
1-0
Caen
Le Bihan (37')
Deaux (61')

Vandermersch (64')
Sep 21, 2021 7pm
Caen
0-1
Dijon

Abdi (64')
Abdi (75'), Moulin (90')
Scheidler (29')
Younoussa (21'), Ecuele Manga (23'), Pi (84')
Apr 28, 2019 2pm
Caen
1-0
Dijon
Fajr (67')
Tchokounte (25')

Balmont (40'), Sammaritano (44'), Lautoa (50'), Sliti (75')
Oct 31, 2018 8.05pm
Third Round
Dijon
3-1
Caen
Said (4', 80'), Sliti (7')
Yambere (58'), Said (64')
Khaoui (51')
Crivelli (56'), Mbengue (58')