Ligue 2 | Gameweek 27
Mar 11, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Paul Lignon, Rodez
Caen

Rodez AF
3 - 2
Caen

Soumano (15'), Raux-Yao (27'), Corredor (54')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Vandenabeele (38' og.), Abdi (90+2')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Rodez AF and Caen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rodez AF

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Niort 2-3 Rodez AF
Saturday, March 4 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Caen

All competitions
Last Game: Caen 0-0 Sochaux
Monday, March 6 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 42.37%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Rodez AF had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.49%) and 1-2 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Rodez AF win it was 1-0 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Rodez AFDrawCaen
28.7% (0.056000000000001 0.06)28.93% (-0.004999999999999 -0)42.37% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Both teams to score 43.45% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.21% (0.039000000000001 0.04)62.79% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.68% (0.027999999999999 0.03)82.31% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Rodez AF Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.5% (0.067 0.07)38.5% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.75% (0.064 0.06)75.25% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)29.35% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.68% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)65.32% (0.011999999999986 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Rodez AF 28.7%
    Caen 42.37%
    Draw 28.92%
Rodez AFDrawCaen
1-0 @ 10.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.31% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.15% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.01% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.64% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.23% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 28.7%
1-1 @ 13.22%
0-0 @ 11.29% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.87% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 28.92%
0-1 @ 13.85% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.49% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 3.47% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 42.37%

Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 6pm
Caen
2-0
Rodez AF
Mendy (68'), Essende (71')

Hakim Abdallah (44')
May 14, 2022 6pm
Rodez AF
2-0
Caen
Celestine (52'), Keroudan (90')
Danger (23')

Abdi (12')
Jul 24, 2021 6pm
Caen
4-0
Rodez AF
Mendy (2', 19', 38' pen.), Shamal (89')
Lepenant (33')

Celestine (36'), Bardy (74')
Jan 23, 2021 6pm
Caen
1-2
Rodez AF
Mendy (27' pen.)
Deminguet (71'), Rivierez (90')
Bardy (3', 18')
Leborgne (26'), Celestine (32')
Sep 12, 2020 6pm
Rodez AF
0-3
Caen

Ouammou (49'), Douline (52')
Leborgne (90+6')
Gioacchini (3'), Bammou (67'), Deminguet (89')
Weber (26'), Bammou (74'), Jeannot (84')