Ligue 2 | Gameweek 22
Feb 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Caen3 - 1Bastia
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Bastia.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 41.56%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Bastia had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 2-1 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.31%), while for a Bastia win it was 0-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.
Result | ||
Caen | Draw | Bastia |
41.56% ( 0.95) | 29.64% ( -0.58) | 28.8% ( -0.37) |
Both teams to score 41.71% ( 1.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.03% ( 1.61) | 64.96% ( -1.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.13% ( 1.11) | 83.86% ( -1.11) |
Caen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.1% ( 1.39) | 30.89% ( -1.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.82% ( 1.6) | 67.18% ( -1.61) |
Bastia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.36% ( 0.62) | 39.64% ( -0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.68% ( 0.57) | 76.32% ( -0.57) |
Score Analysis |
Caen 41.55%
Bastia 28.8%
Draw 29.64%
Caen | Draw | Bastia |
1-0 @ 14.38% ( -0.31) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.15% Total : 41.55% | 1-1 @ 13.31% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 12.24% ( -0.75) 2-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.64% | 0-1 @ 11.33% ( -0.49) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.43% Total : 28.8% |
How you voted: Caen vs Bastia
Caen
57.1%Draw
42.9%Bastia
0.0%7
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 8pm
Feb 26, 2022 6pm
Sep 18, 2021 6pm
Jan 28, 2017 7pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-12 02:45:44
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auxerre | 37 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 71 |
2 | Angers | 37 | 20 | 7 | 10 | 56 | 42 | 14 | 67 |
3 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 47 | 29 | 18 | 65 |
4 | Paris FCParis FC | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 58 |
5 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 37 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 60 | 51 | 9 | 57 |
6 | Caen | 37 | 16 | 7 | 14 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 55 |
7 | Laval | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 52 |
8 | GuingampGuingamp | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 51 |
9 | PauPau | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 51 |
10 | Grenoble | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 51 |
11 | AmiensAmiens | 37 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 50 |
12 | Bastia | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 49 |
13 | Bordeaux | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 47 |
14 | Ajaccio | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 46 |
15 | Annecy | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 45 |
16 | DunkerqueDunkerque | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 45 |
17 | Troyes | 36 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 40 |
18 | Concarneau | 37 | 10 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 38 |
19 | Quevilly | 37 | 6 | 17 | 14 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 35 |
20 | Valenciennes | 36 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 25 | 51 | -26 | 26 |
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