Caen vs Bastia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 41.56%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Bastia had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 2-1 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.31%), while for a Bastia win it was 0-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.