Guingamp
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 25
Feb 25, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade du Roudourou
Caen

Guingamp
1 - 2
Caen

FT(HT: 0-2)
Court (19'), Kyeremeh (42')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Guingamp and Caen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bastia 1-1 Guingamp
Saturday, February 18 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Caen 2-1 Grenoble
Saturday, February 18 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Caen had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
GuingampDrawCaen
40.23% (0.196 0.2)29.03% (0.046000000000003 0.05)30.73% (-0.244 -0.24)
Both teams to score 44% (-0.203 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.48% (-0.212 -0.21)62.52% (0.21 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.88% (-0.154 -0.15)82.12% (0.152 0.15)
Guingamp Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.57% (0.0089999999999861 0.01)30.43% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.36% (0.010000000000005 0.01)66.63% (-0.012 -0.01)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.25% (-0.301 -0.3)36.75% (0.299 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.46% (-0.302 -0.3)73.54% (0.29900000000001 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Guingamp 40.23%
    Caen 30.73%
    Draw 29.02%
GuingampDrawCaen
1-0 @ 13.3% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 7.92% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 7.92% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.14% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 40.23%
1-1 @ 13.31%
0-0 @ 11.18% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 3.97% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 29.02%
0-1 @ 11.19%
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.6% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.22% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 30.73%

Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 6pm
Caen
4-1
Guingamp
Ntim (18'), Mendy (19'), Essende (52'), Jeannot (76' pen.)
Brahimi (49'), Mandrea (66'), Thomas (66')
Barthelme (6')
Quemper (12'), Livolant (66'), Cathline (66'), Diarra (78')
Diarra (79')
Apr 30, 2022 6pm
Guingamp
2-1
Caen
Pierrot (71'), Merghem (81')
Sivis (77')
Diani (14')
Vandermersch (56'), Mendy (63'), Court (68')
Dec 11, 2021 6pm
Caen
2-0
Guingamp
Da Costa (14'), Mendy (81' pen.)
Lepenant (65')

Roux (28'), Ba (32'), Merghem (42'), Lemonnier (73')
Roux (77'), Ndenbe (80')
Feb 22, 2021 7.45pm
Guingamp
2-2
Caen
Pierrot (66'), Niakate (71')
Niakate (47'), Ntep (75')
Oniangue (26'), Mendy (55')
Gioacchini (50')
Oct 24, 2020 2pm
Caen
1-0
Guingamp
Deminguet (90+2')
Court (2'), Beka Beka (45')

Roux (20'), Fofana (77')