Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Guingamp had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.52%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Guingamp win was 0-1 (12.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
Bastia	Draw	Guingamp
38.07% ( -1.29)	29.7% ( 0.19)	32.23% ( 1.1)

Both teams to score 42.66% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.65% (

-0.41)

64.35% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.57% (

-0.29)

83.43% (

0.29)

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.32% (

-1)

32.68% (

1.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.78% (

-1.14)

69.22% (

1.14)

Guingamp Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.36% (

0.59)

36.63% (

-0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.58% (

0.59)

73.42% (

-0.58)

Score Analysis

Bastia 38.06%

Guingamp 32.23%

Draw 29.69%

Bastia	Draw	Guingamp
1-0 @ 13.38% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.31) 3-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.67% Total : 38.06%	1-1 @ 13.44% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 11.97% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.69%	0-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 32.23%