Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Guingamp had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.52%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Guingamp win was 0-1 (12.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
-1.29) 
0.19) 
