Ligue 2 | Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Caen4 - 1Guingamp
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Guingamp.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dijon 2-2 Caen
Saturday, August 13 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Saturday, August 13 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Guingamp | 3 | 5 | 7 |
2 | Caen | 3 | 2 | 7 |
3 | Bastia | 3 | 4 | 6 |
Last Game: Guingamp 0-0 Paris FC
Saturday, August 13 at 2pm in Ligue 2
Saturday, August 13 at 2pm in Ligue 2
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Guingamp | 3 | 5 | 7 |
2 | Caen | 3 | 2 | 7 |
3 | Bastia | 3 | 4 | 6 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 43.49%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Guingamp had a probability of 27.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%), while for a Guingamp win it was 0-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.
Result | ||
Caen | Draw | Guingamp |
43.49% ( 0.06) | 29.05% ( 0.12) | 27.46% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 42.51% ( -0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.36% ( -0.44) | 63.63% ( 0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.08% ( -0.32) | 82.92% ( 0.32) |
Caen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.86% ( -0.18) | 29.14% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.93% ( -0.23) | 65.07% ( 0.23) |
Guingamp Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60% ( -0.41) | 40% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.34% ( -0.38) | 76.65% ( 0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Caen 43.49%
Guingamp 27.46%
Draw 29.03%
Caen | Draw | Guingamp |
1-0 @ 14.37% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.64% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.48% Total : 43.49% | 1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 11.65% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.03% | 0-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.38% Total : 27.46% |
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 6pm
Guingamp
2-1
Caen
Pierrot (71'), Merghem (81')
Sivis (77')
Sivis (77')
Dec 11, 2021 6pm
Caen
2-0
Guingamp
Da Costa (14'), Mendy (81' pen.)
Lepenant (65')
Lepenant (65')
Feb 22, 2021 7.45pm
Oct 24, 2020 2pm
Apr 21, 2020 7pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-04-29 11:11:26
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auxerre | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 63 | 34 | 29 | 64 |
2 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 63 |
3 | Angers | 35 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 61 |
4 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 35 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 58 | 47 | 11 | 56 |
5 | Paris FCParis FC | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 55 |
6 | Laval | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 52 |
7 | PauPau | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 56 | 50 | 6 | 51 |
8 | Caen | 35 | 15 | 6 | 14 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 51 |
9 | GuingampGuingamp | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 50 |
10 | AmiensAmiens | 35 | 10 | 16 | 9 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 46 |
11 | Bastia | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 46 |
12 | Ajaccio | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 46 |
13 | Grenoble | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 45 |
14 | Bordeaux | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 44 |
15 | Annecy | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 42 |
16 | DunkerqueDunkerque | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 41 |
17 | Troyes | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 37 |
18 | Quevilly | 35 | 6 | 17 | 12 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 35 |
19 | Concarneau | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 35 |
20 | Valenciennes | 35 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 23 | 50 | -27 | 23 |
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