Ligue 2 | Gameweek 4

Aug 20, 2022 at 6pm UK

Stade Michel d'Ornano

Caen
4 - 1
Guingamp

Ntim (18'), Mendy (19'), Essende (52'), Jeannot (76' pen.)
Brahimi (49'), Mandrea (66'), Thomas (66')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Barthelme (6')
Quemper (12'), Livolant (66'), Cathline (66'), Diarra (78')
Diarra (79')

Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Guingamp.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caen

Last Six:

Last Game: Dijon 2-2 Caen
Saturday, August 13 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Guingamp	3	5	7
2	Caen	3	2	7
3	Bastia	3	4	6

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 43.49%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Guingamp had a probability of 27.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%), while for a Guingamp win it was 0-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.

Result
Caen	Draw	Guingamp
43.49% ( 0.06)	29.05% ( 0.12)	27.46% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 42.51% (

-0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.36% (

-0.44)

63.63% (

0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.08% (

-0.32)

82.92% (

0.32)

Caen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.86% (

-0.18)

29.14% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.93% (

-0.23)

65.07% (

0.23)

Guingamp Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60% (

-0.41)

40% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.34% (

-0.38)

76.65% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Caen 43.49%

Guingamp 27.46%

Draw 29.03%

Caen	Draw	Guingamp
1-0 @ 14.37% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.64% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.48% Total : 43.49%	1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 11.65% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.03%	0-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.38% Total : 27.46%