Ligue 2 Gameweek 28
Mar 18, 2023 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Bilal Brahimi 9' goal
  • Alexandre Mendy 77' goal
  • goal Ugo Bonnet 30'

Caen vs Valenciennes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Caen

All competitions
Last game
Mar 11, 2023 6.00pm
Rodez AF 3 - 2 Caen
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Alexandre Mendy

Valenciennes

All competitions
Last game
Mar 11, 2023 6.00pm
Valenciennes 2 - 2 Bastia
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Adrian Grbic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 57.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 17.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.49%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.

Result

Caen 57.02% (+0.94)
Draw 25.77% (-0.25)
Valenciennes 17.2% (-0.69)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.69% (-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.68% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 61.31% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 18.77% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 81.23% (+0.02)

Caen Goals

Over 0.5 78.31% (+0.38)
Under 0.5 21.68% (-0.38)
Over 1.5 45.17% (+0.57)
Under 1.5 54.82% (-0.57)

Valenciennes Goals

Over 0.5 50.68% (-0.90)
Under 0.5 49.31% (+0.90)
Over 1.5 15.82% (-0.64)
Under 1.5 84.17% (+0.64)

Score analysis

Caen 57.02%
Draw 25.76%
Valenciennes 17.2%
Caen
1-0 @ 16.34% (+0.20)
2-0 @ 12.49% (+0.30)
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 6.37% (+0.22)
3-1 @ 4.5% (+0.05)
4-0 @ 2.43% (+0.11)
4-1 @ 1.72% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 57.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.55% (-0.15)
0-0 @ 10.69% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.12% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 25.76%
Valenciennes
0-1 @ 7.56% (-0.19)
1-2 @ 4.09% (-0.17)
0-2 @ 2.67% (-0.14)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 17.2%

Head to Head

Ligue 2 Gameweek 14
Nov 5, 2022 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Joffrey Cuffaut 39' goal
  • goal Alexandre Mendy 23'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 29
Mar 15, 2022 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Emmanuel Ntim 24' goal
  • Joffrey Cuffaut 42' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Kaba 43' yellowcard
  • Sambou Yatabare 59' yellowcard
  • Julien Masson 89' yellowcard
  • goal Nuno da Costa 13'
  • yellowcard Ali Abdi 59'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Cisse 88'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 11
Oct 2, 2021 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Anthony Goncalves 73' yellowcard
  • Mehdi Chahiri 90'+2' goal
  • goal Ali Abdi 16' (OG)
  • goal Gaetan Robail 29'
  • yellowcard Mathieu Debuchy 31'
  • yellowcard Gaetan Robail 81'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 23
Feb 2, 2021 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jessy Deminguet 31' yellowcard
  • Yacine Bammou 52' goal
  • Alexandre Mendy 86' yellowcard
  • goal Moussa Guel 5'
  • yellowcard Theo Pellenard 34'
  • yellowcard Maxime Spano 51'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Ntim 65'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 5
Sep 26, 2020 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Emmanuel Ntim 10' goal
  • Sessi D'Almeida 32' yellowcard
  • Julien Masson 43' yellowcard
  • Maxime Spano Rahou 44' yellowcard
  • Jerome Prior 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jessy Deminguet 44'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 29
Mar 13, 2020 7.00pm
Stade du Hainaut