Ligue 2 | Gameweek 27
Mar 11, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Nungesser

Valenciennes
2 - 2
Bastia

Grbic (25', 48')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Magri (4', 69')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Valenciennes and Bastia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valenciennes

All competitions
Last Game: Quevilly 1-1 Valenciennes
Saturday, March 4 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Bastia

All competitions
Last Game: Bastia 4-2 Nimes
Saturday, March 4 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.27%) and 1-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 1-0 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
ValenciennesDrawBastia
29.46% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)28.86% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)41.68% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Both teams to score 43.98% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.68% (0.018000000000001 0.02)62.31% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.03% (0.013999999999999 0.01)81.96% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Valenciennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.38% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)37.62% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.6% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)74.4% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.5% (0.024000000000001 0.02)29.5% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.49% (0.030999999999999 0.03)65.51% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Valenciennes 29.45%
    Bastia 41.67%
    Draw 28.85%
ValenciennesDrawBastia
1-0 @ 10.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 5.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 1.73% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.29% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 29.45%
1-1 @ 13.24%
0-0 @ 11.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.95% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 28.85%
0-1 @ 13.54%
0-2 @ 8.27% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.09% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-3 @ 3.37% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.29% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 41.67%

Head to Head
Dec 30, 2022 8pm
Bastia
1-0
Valenciennes
Drame (78')
Ndiaye (41')
Mar 5, 2022 6pm
Bastia
1-1
Valenciennes
Abeid (20' og.)
Sainati (16'), Magri (64'), Robic (87'), Guidi (89')
Bonnet (11')
Abeid (59'), Chevalier (87'), Bonnet (89')
Sep 21, 2021 7pm
Valenciennes
2-1
Bastia
Cuffaut (7' pen.), Robail (66')
Ntim (16'), Lecoeuche (62'), Kaba (88')
Santelli (43')
Palun (6'), Robic (57')
Jan 11, 2014 7pm
Valenciennes
3-2
Bastia
Dossevi (33', 35'), Waris (54')
Romaric (71'), Araujo (82')
> Match Report
Aug 17, 2013 7pm
Bastia
2-0
Valenciennes
Bruno (77'), Ba (79')
Diakite (35'), Yatabare (58')

Ducourtioux (34'), Lala (69')
> Match Report