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Ligue 2 | Gameweek 26
Mar 4, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Armand Cesari
Nimes logo

Bastia
4 - 2
Nimes

Djoco (28'), Magri (36'), Van Den Kerkhof (74' pen.), Bai (88')
Vincent (16'), Magri (29'), Santelli (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Tchokounte (11'), Pagis (50')
Djiga (38'), Tchokounte (73')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Nimes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rodez AF 0-2 Bastia
Saturday, February 25 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Metz 2-0 Nimes
Saturday, February 25 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 45.05%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Nimes had a probability of 26.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a Nimes win it was 0-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bastia would win this match.

Result
BastiaDrawNimes
45.05% (0.717 0.72) 28.68% (0.566 0.57) 26.27% (-1.279 -1.28)
Both teams to score 42.71% (-2.257 -2.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.98% (-2.427 -2.43)63.01% (2.429 2.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.52% (-1.793 -1.79)82.48% (1.795 1.79)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.99% (-0.777 -0.78)28% (0.78 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.35% (-1 -1)63.64% (1 1)
Nimes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.32% (-2.466 -2.47)40.68% (2.468 2.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.73% (-2.293 -2.29)77.27% (2.295 2.3)
Score Analysis
    Bastia 45.05%
    Nimes 26.27%
    Draw 28.67%
BastiaDrawNimes
1-0 @ 14.5% (0.97 0.97)
2-0 @ 9.23% (0.424 0.42)
2-1 @ 8.3% (-0.171 -0.17)
3-0 @ 3.92% (0.097 0.1)
3-1 @ 3.52% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.183 -0.18)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 45.05%
1-1 @ 13.04% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 11.39% (0.99 0.99)
2-2 @ 3.73% (-0.341 -0.34)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 28.67%
0-1 @ 10.24% (0.24 0.24)
1-2 @ 5.87% (-0.398 -0.4)
0-2 @ 4.61% (-0.206 -0.21)
1-3 @ 1.76% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.187 -0.19)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 26.27%

Head to Head
Sep 10, 2022 6pm
Nimes
0-0
Bastia

Vargas (27')
May 14, 2022 6pm
Nimes
0-2
Bastia

Eliasson (82')
Le Cardinal (48'), Santelli (65')
Zolotov (52')
Jul 24, 2021 2pm
Bastia
1-1
Nimes
Diongue (51')
Sainati (20'), Ducrocq (70')
Fomba (12')
Benrahou (78'), Delpech (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris FCParis FC1594224111331
2Lorient1593328151330
3Metz1584324131128
4DunkerqueDunkerque159152320328
5Annecy157532318526
6GuingampGuingamp158162519625
7AmiensAmiens157261918123
8Laval156452216622
9Rodez AFRodez AF155462825319
10Bastia1531021313019
11PauPau155461719-219
12Grenoble155371717018
13Clermont154471318-516
14Caen154381721-415
15Ajaccio154381016-615
16Troyes154381119-815
17Red Star154381327-1415
18Martigues152310830-229


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