Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Laval had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Laval win was 0-1 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valenciennes would win this match.