Ligue 2 | Gameweek 30
Apr 8, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Amable Lozai
Caen

Quevilly
2 - 1
Caen

Jung (20'), Sangare (38')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Mendy (59' pen.)
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Quevilly and Caen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Quevilly

All competitions
Last Game: Rodez AF 1-0 Quevilly
Saturday, April 1 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Caen

All competitions
Last Game: Caen 2-1 Dijon
Saturday, April 1 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Quevilly had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Quevilly win was 1-0 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
QuevillyDrawCaen
30.11% (0.164 0.16)28.49% (-0.023 -0.02)41.4% (-0.144 -0.14)
Both teams to score 45.22% (0.127 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.1% (0.126 0.13)60.9% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.08% (0.094999999999999 0.09)80.91% (-0.101 -0.1)
Quevilly Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.65% (0.193 0.19)36.34% (-0.2 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.87% (0.198 0.2)73.12% (-0.203 -0.2)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.03% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)28.96% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.15% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)64.85% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Quevilly 30.1%
    Caen 41.39%
    Draw 28.48%
QuevillyDrawCaen
1-0 @ 10.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.68% (0.036 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.39% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.25% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.82% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.4% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 30.1%
1-1 @ 13.2%
0-0 @ 10.52% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.14% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.48%
0-1 @ 13.04% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 8.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 8.08% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 3.34% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 41.39%

Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 6pm
Caen
0-1
Quevilly
Camara (29')
Sidibe (46')
May 7, 2022 6pm
Caen
2-0
Quevilly
Jeannot (77'), Abdi (90+2')
Vandermersch (27'), Court (33'), Abdi (49'), Jeannot (78')

Boe-Kane (32'), Sidibe (61')
Dec 21, 2021 7.45pm
Quevilly
2-2
Caen
Padovani (90+2'), Sidibe (90+3')
Sangare (41')
Oniangue (26'), Da Costa (50')
Wadja (90+2')
Mendy (90+5')