Caen
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 31
Apr 15, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Michel d'Ornano

Caen
3 - 1
Paris FC

Mendy (16'), Chergui (45' og.), Kyeremeh (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ntim (81' og.)
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Paris FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caen

All competitions
Last Game: Quevilly 2-1 Caen
Saturday, April 8 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Paris FC

All competitions
Last Game: Paris FC 2-4 St Etienne
Saturday, April 8 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 45.04%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Paris FC had a probability of 27.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Paris FC win it was 0-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.

Result
CaenDrawParis FC
45.04% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.77% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)27.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 45.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)59.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)79.94% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.59% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)26.4% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.43% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)61.56% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Paris FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.01% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)37.98% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.24% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)74.75%
Score Analysis
    Caen 45.04%
    Paris FC 27.18%
    Draw 27.75%
CaenDrawParis FC
1-0 @ 13.35%
2-0 @ 8.89%
2-1 @ 8.61%
3-0 @ 3.95%
3-1 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 1.85%
4-0 @ 1.31%
4-1 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 45.04%
1-1 @ 12.92%
0-0 @ 10.02%
2-2 @ 4.17% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 27.75%
0-1 @ 9.71% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 6.26% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.7%
1-3 @ 2.02%
0-3 @ 1.52%
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 27.18%

Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 6pm
Paris FC
1-1
Caen
Lopez (87')
Karamoko (43'), Chergui (75'), Name (90+3')
Thomas (44')
Teikeu (53'), Mohamed (86')
Apr 19, 2022 7pm
Paris FC
1-0
Caen
Name (26')
Caddy (15'), Mandouki (42')

Sy (58'), Mendy (74'), Diani (90')
Nov 20, 2021 6pm
Caen
0-1
Paris FC

Wadja (21'), Mendy (69')
Gory (65')
Lopez (73'), Guilavogui (83')
Feb 27, 2021 6pm
Caen
0-2
Paris FC

Gioacchini (30'), Vandermersch (71')
Laura (37'), Bamba (86')
Hanin (42')
Oct 31, 2020 2pm
Paris FC
3-1
Caen
Kante (43'), Lopez (50' pen.), Caddy (70' pen.)
Demarconnay (4'), Nomenjanahary (41')
Bammou (12')
Oniangue (7'), Nsona (32'), Pi (36'), Rivierez (48'), Mendy (66'), Beka Beka (69')
Rivierez (60')