Ligue 2 | Gameweek 29
Apr 1, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Nungesser

Valenciennes
4 - 5
Paris FC

Grbic (5', 45+1'), Kaba (62'), Buatu Mananga (85')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Guilavogui (33', 38', 58'), Kore (80'), Boutaib (90')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Valenciennes and Paris FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valenciennes

All competitions
Last Game: Caen 2-1 Valenciennes
Saturday, March 18 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Paris FC

All competitions
Last Game: Paris FC 0-1 Bastia
Saturday, March 18 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.48%) and 1-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 1-0 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris FC would win this match.

Result
ValenciennesDrawParis FC
28.64% (-0.064 -0.06)28.13% (0.012 0.01)43.23% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 45.51% (-0.07 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.8% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)60.2% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.61% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)80.39% (0.055000000000007 0.06)
Valenciennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.88% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)37.11% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.1% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)73.9% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Paris FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.37% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)27.63% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.84% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)63.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Valenciennes 28.64%
    Paris FC 43.22%
    Draw 28.13%
ValenciennesDrawParis FC
1-0 @ 10.16%
2-1 @ 6.48% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.38% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 28.64%
1-1 @ 13.07%
0-0 @ 10.25% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.17% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.13%
0-1 @ 13.18% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.48% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.41% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 3.64% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.61% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 43.22%

Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 6pm
Paris FC
0-1
Valenciennes

Dabila (50')
Diliberto (22')
Apr 30, 2022 6pm
Paris FC
1-1
Valenciennes
Alfarela (11')
Siby (34'), Guilavogui (49'), Bernauer (57'), Boutaib (70')
Hamache (3')
Debuchy (90+7')
Dec 11, 2021 6pm
Valenciennes
1-4
Paris FC
Guillaume (65')
Yatabare (4'), Cuffaut (5'), Masson (22'), Guillaume (28')
Name (6' pen.), Guilavogui (18'), Laura (20'), Alfarela (80')
Siby (26'), Guilavogui (49')
Jan 26, 2021 6pm
Valenciennes
2-0
Paris FC
Cuffaut (59'), Cabral (69')
Cuffaut (52')

Gakpa (28'), Kante (36'), Laura (76')
Aug 29, 2020 6pm
Paris FC
1-0
Valenciennes
Laura (47')
Name (62'), Mandouki (74'), Jason Kikonda (89')

Cuffaut (35'), Abeid (69')