Ligue 2 | Gameweek 28
Mar 18, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Charléty

Paris FC
0 - 1
Bastia

FT(HT: 0-0)
Magri (66')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Paris FC and Bastia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Paris FC 3-0 Amiens
Tuesday, March 14 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Valenciennes 2-2 Bastia
Saturday, March 11 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Paris FCDrawBastia
38.43% (1.673 1.67)28.11% (-0.137 -0.14)33.46% (-1.534 -1.53)
Both teams to score 47.26% (0.219 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.19% (0.355 0.36)58.81% (-0.353 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.67% (0.275 0.27)79.33% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)
Paris FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.35% (1.194 1.19)29.66% (-1.19 -1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.3% (1.428 1.43)65.7% (-1.423 -1.42)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.19% (-0.839 -0.84)32.81% (0.843 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.62% (-0.949 -0.95)69.38% (0.95399999999999 0.95)
Score Analysis
    Paris FC 38.42%
    Bastia 33.46%
    Draw 28.11%
Paris FCDrawBastia
1-0 @ 11.82% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 8.01% (0.233 0.23)
2-0 @ 7.19% (0.368 0.37)
3-1 @ 3.25% (0.197 0.2)
3-0 @ 2.91% (0.239 0.24)
3-2 @ 1.81% (0.069 0.07)
4-1 @ 0.99% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 38.42%
1-1 @ 13.18% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 9.73% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.46% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.11%
0-1 @ 10.84% (-0.4 -0.4)
1-2 @ 7.34% (-0.198 -0.2)
0-2 @ 6.04% (-0.37 -0.37)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-3 @ 2.24% (-0.193 -0.19)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 33.46%

Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 6pm
Bastia
0-1
Paris FC
Guilavogui (34')
Le Cardinal (26')
Apr 22, 2022 8pm
Bastia
2-1
Paris FC
Guidi (15', 45+1')
Sainati (39')
Name (80')
O (55'), Guilavogui (69')
Dec 3, 2021 8pm
Paris FC
1-0
Bastia
Name (89' pen.)
Kante (55')

Vincent (34'), Guidi (58')