Champions League

Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 15, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
2 - 1
Panathinaikos

(2-2 on aggregate)

Aubameyang (2', 45+1')
Aubameyang (7'), Veretout (90+11')

FT
(aet)

Ioannidis (90+9' pen.)
Brignoli (25'), Vagiannidis (67'), Jedvaj (67'), Mancini (88'), Perez (90+5'), Gnezda Cerin (91')

Panathinaikos win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Marseille and Panathinaikos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Reims
Saturday, August 12 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Panathinaikos

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Panathinaikos 1-0 Marseille
Wednesday, August 9 at 7pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 54.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 21.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Panathinaikos win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Panathinaikos
54.34% ( -0.01)	23.88% ( 0)	21.77% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 51.57% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.77% (

-0)

49.22% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.71% (

-0.01)

71.28% (

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.98% (

-0.01)

18.01% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.11% (

-0.01)

48.88% (

0.01)

Panathinaikos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.89% (

0.01)

37.1% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.11% (

0.01)

73.88% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Marseille 54.34%

Panathinaikos 21.77%

Draw 23.87%

Marseille	Draw	Panathinaikos
1-0 @ 11.45% 2-0 @ 9.82% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.74% 3-0 @ 5.61% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.56% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.76% 4-0 @ 2.41% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.43% Total : 54.34%	1-1 @ 11.35% 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.83% 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.87%	0-1 @ 6.62% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.63% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.28% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.6% 0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 1.69% Total : 21.77%