Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Dnipro-1 had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Dnipro-1 win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.