Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 37

May 27, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
1 - 2
Brest

Mbemba (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Magnetti (57'), Camara (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions

Last Game: Lille 2-1 Marseille
Saturday, May 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brest

All competitions

Last Game: Brest 2-1 Clermont
Sunday, May 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 71.01%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Brest had a probability of 11.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.54%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Brest
71.01% ( 0)	17.96% ( 0)	11.03% ( -0)

Both teams to score 46.62% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.68% (

-0)

43.31% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.29% (

-0)

65.71% (

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.08% (

-0)

10.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.9% (

-0)

35.09%

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.33% (

-0.01)

47.66% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.02% (

-0)

82.98% (

Score Analysis

Marseille 71.01%

Brest 11.03%

Draw 17.96%

Marseille	Draw	Brest
2-0 @ 12.76% 1-0 @ 11.52% 2-1 @ 9.46% 3-0 @ 9.42% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.98% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.22% 4-1 @ 3.87% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.59% 5-0 @ 2.31% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.71% 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 3.74% Total : 71.01%	1-1 @ 8.54% 0-0 @ 5.2% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.5% Other @ 0.71% Total : 17.96%	0-1 @ 3.86% 1-2 @ 3.16% 0-2 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 11.03%