MX23RW : Tuesday, December 5 01:09:59| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
AC Ajaccio
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38
Jun 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Francois Coty
Marseille
Ajaccio
1 - 0
Marseille
Vidal (88')
Soumano (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Balerdi (21')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Ajaccio and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 3-0 Ajaccio
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-2 Brest
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Ajaccio 0-3 Marseille

Ajaccio are going down with an almighty whimper and have suffered numerous heavy defeats in recent weeks. Despite some poor form of their own recently, Marseille should have more than enough to get the job done comfortably in Corsica. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 68.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 11.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.18%) and 0-3 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 1-0 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
AjaccioDrawMarseille
11.39% (-0.981 -0.98) 20.25% (-0.215 -0.22) 68.36% (1.199 1.2)
Both teams to score 40.78% (-2.229 -2.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.05% (-1.364 -1.36)51.95% (1.365 1.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.31% (-1.191 -1.19)73.69% (1.193 1.19)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.55% (-2.561 -2.56)52.45% (2.564 2.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.7% (-1.715 -1.72)86.3% (1.717 1.72)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.78% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)14.22% (0.065 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.05% (-0.123 -0.12)41.95% (0.125 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Ajaccio 11.39%
    Marseille 68.34%
    Draw 20.25%
AjaccioDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 4.81% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-1 @ 3.03% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-0 @ 1.55% (-0.154 -0.15)
Other @ 2%
Total : 11.39%
1-1 @ 9.39% (-0.213 -0.21)
0-0 @ 7.46% (0.397 0.4)
2-2 @ 2.95% (-0.309 -0.31)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 20.25%
0-1 @ 14.54% (0.74 0.74)
0-2 @ 14.18% (0.69 0.69)
0-3 @ 9.23% (0.429 0.43)
1-2 @ 9.16% (-0.23 -0.23)
1-3 @ 5.95% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-4 @ 4.5% (0.199 0.2)
1-4 @ 2.9% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.206 -0.21)
0-5 @ 1.76% (0.074 0.07)
1-5 @ 1.13% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 68.34%

How you voted: Ajaccio vs Marseille

Ajaccio
9.7%
Draw
12.9%
Marseille
77.4%
31
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 4pm
gameweek 10
Marseille
1-2
Ajaccio
Payet (15' pen.)
Moussiti-Oko (25'), Balerdi (47' og.)
Apr 4, 2014 7.30pm
Marseille
3-1
Ajaccio
Ayew (4', 60', 77')
Morel (90')
Tallo (62')
Nov 22, 2013 7.30pm
Ajaccio
1-3
Marseille
Perozo (31')
Cavalli (18'), Pierazzi (49'), Perozo (53'), Demba Camara (84')
Payet (27'), Gignac (39'), Thauvin (58')
Thauvin (18')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
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Jags
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14103136112533
2Nice14851145929
3MonacoMonaco1483329191027
4Lille147521911826
5Reims147252019123
6Lens146441915422
7Brest136341714321
8NantesNantes145361823-518
9Marseille134541514117
10Le HavreLe Havre143741215-316
11Metz144461522-716
12Rennes143651919015
13Montpellier HSCMontpellier143561720-313
14Toulouse142751418-413
15StrasbourgStrasbourg133461118-713
16Lorient142661825-712
17Clermont14248921-1210
18Lyon131481124-137

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