Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38

Jun 3, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade Francois Coty

Ajaccio
1 - 0
Marseille

Vidal (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Ajaccio and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajaccio

All competitions

Last Game: Lens 3-0 Ajaccio
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Marseille

All competitions

Last Game: Marseille 1-2 Brest
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 68.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 11.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.18%) and 0-3 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 1-0 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Ajaccio	Draw	Marseille
11.39% ( -0.98)	20.25% ( -0.22)	68.36% ( 1.2)

Both teams to score 40.78% (

-2.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.05% (

-1.36)

51.95% (

1.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.31% (

-1.19)

73.69% (

1.19)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.55% (

-2.56)

52.45% (

2.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.7% (

-1.72)

86.3% (

1.72)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.78% (

-0.06)

14.22% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.05% (

-0.12)

41.95% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Ajaccio 11.39%

Marseille 68.34%

Draw 20.25%

Ajaccio	Draw	Marseille
1-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.31) 2-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.15) Other @ 2% Total : 11.39%	1-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.31) Other @ 0.45% Total : 20.25%	0-1 @ 14.54% ( 0.74) 0-2 @ 14.18% ( 0.69) 0-3 @ 9.23% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 5.95% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 4.5% ( 0.2) 1-4 @ 2.9% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.21) 0-5 @ 1.76% ( 0.07) 1-5 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.14% Total : 68.34%