Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1

Aug 13, 2023 at 4.05pm UK

Roazhon Park

Rennes
5 - 1
Metz

Kalimuendo (20'), Gouiri (51'), Doku (67'), Salah (87', 90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Maziz (21')
Kouao (45+2'), Colin (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Wolves 3-1 Rennes
Saturday, August 5 at 12.45pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Metz

All competitions

Last Game: Metz 3-2 Bastia
Friday, June 2 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Metz had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
Rennes	Draw	Metz
48.85% ( -0.6)	25.14% ( 0.28)	26.01% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 52.36% (

-0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.53% (

-0.92)

50.47% (

0.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.6% (

-0.82)

72.4% (

0.83)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.32% (

-0.62)

20.68% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.72% (

-0.99)

53.27% (

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.01% (

-0.23)

33.99% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.33% (

-0.25)

70.67% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Rennes 48.84%

Metz 26.01%

Draw 25.13%

Rennes	Draw	Metz
1-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.61% Total : 48.84%	1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.13%	0-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.27% Total : 26.01%