Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38

Jun 3, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Brest
1 - 2
Rennes

Belkebla (36' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-2)

Bourigeaud (13', 45+4' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions

Last Game: Marseille 1-2 Brest
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rennes

All competitions

Last Game: Rennes 2-0 Monaco
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Brest had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
Brest	Draw	Rennes
26.47% ( -1.31)	26.03% ( 0.18)	47.5% ( 1.13)

Both teams to score 50.04% (

-1.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.31% (

-1.51)

53.69% (

1.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.82% (

-1.29)

75.18% (

1.29)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.65% (

-1.86)

35.35% (

1.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.89% (

-1.98)

72.11% (

1.99)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.39% (

-0.12)

22.6% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.78% (

-0.18)

56.22% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Brest 26.47%

Rennes 47.5%

Draw 26.02%

Brest	Draw	Rennes
1-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.42% ( -0.3) 2-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.03% Total : 26.47%	1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.02%	0-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.65) 1-2 @ 9.19% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.45) 1-3 @ 4.55% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.38% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.98% Total : 47.5%