Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3

Aug 26, 2023 at 8pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
3 - 1
Lens

Asensio (44'), Mbappe (52', 90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Guilavogui (90+5')
Medina (19'), Haise (31'), Sotoca (42'), Spierings (79'), Machado (82'), Gradit (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Toulouse 1-1 PSG
Saturday, August 19 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lens

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lens 1-1 Rennes
Sunday, August 20 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 47.15%. A win for Lens had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Lens
47.15% ( -0.01)	23.54%	29.3% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 60.23% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.72% (

41.28% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.32% (

63.67% (

-0)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.25% (

-0)

17.74% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.57% (

-0.01)

48.42% (

0.01)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.22% (

0.01)

26.77% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.95% (

0.01)

62.05% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 47.15%

Lens 29.3%

Draw 23.54%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Lens
2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.21% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.1% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.55% 4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.79% Total : 47.15%	1-1 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.54%	1-2 @ 7.13% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.26% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.13% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 29.3%