Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Rennes |
| 41.47% ( | 25.99% ( | 32.53% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.26% ( | 50.74% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.36% ( | 72.64% ( |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.78% ( | 24.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.44% ( | 58.55% ( |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.65% ( | 29.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.66% ( | 65.33% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Rennes |
| 1-0 @ 10.07% ( 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 2-0 @ 7.15% ( 3-1 @ 4.14% ( 3-0 @ 3.38% ( 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 4-0 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 2.76% Total : 41.46% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 3-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 8.71% ( 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0-2 @ 5.34% ( 1-3 @ 3.09% ( 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0-3 @ 2.18% ( 1-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.49% Total : 32.53% |