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Ligue 1

Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Marseille

Nantes
1 - 1
Marseille

Mohamed (39')
Aristouy (69')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sarr (4')
Aubameyang (26'), Rongier (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 3-3 Monaco
Friday, August 25 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-0 Brest
Saturday, August 26 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 55.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 20.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.43%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
NantesDrawMarseille
20.31% (-0.112 -0.11)23.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)55.86% (0.117 0.12)
Both teams to score 49.65% (-0.14899999999999 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.28% (-0.111 -0.11)50.72% (0.112 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.38% (-0.099 -0.1)72.62% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.55% (-0.183 -0.18)39.44% (0.181 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.86% (-0.171 -0.17)76.13% (0.17 0.17)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82% (0.0010000000000048 0)18% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.13% (0.0039999999999978 0)48.87% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 20.31%
    Marseille 55.85%
    Draw 23.82%
NantesDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 6.61% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-1 @ 5.27% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 3.07% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.63% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.4% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 0.95% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 20.31%
1-1 @ 11.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.1% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 23.82%
0-1 @ 12.17% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 10.43% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 5.97% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.55% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.56% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.38%
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 55.85%

How you voted: Nantes vs Marseille

Nantes
8.6%
Draw
14.0%
Marseille
77.4%
93
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