/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flillog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnanlog.png)
-
Jonathan David
66'
-
Alexsandro
78'
-
Adam Ounas
90'+4'
-
Nicolas Pallois
32'
-
Jean-Charles Castelletto
47'
Lille vs Nantes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F07%2Fpaulo-fonseca.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 63.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 15.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lille in this match.
Result
Lille
63.96%
▲
(+0.35)
Draw
20.26%
▼
(-0.17)
Nantes
15.77%
▼
(-0.18)
Both Teams to Score:
52.43%
▲
(+0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.34%
▲
(+0.43)
Under 2.5
42.66%
▼
(-0.43)
Over 3.5
34.94%
▲
(+0.42)
Under 3.5
65.06%
▼
(-0.42)
Over 4.5
18.22%
▲
(+0.32)
Under 4.5
81.78%
▼
(-0.32)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5
87.35%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 0.5
12.65%
▼
(-0.23)
Over 1.5
61.2%
▲
(+0.47)
Under 1.5
38.79%
▼
(-0.47)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5
60.03%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
39.97%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
23.37%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
76.62%
▼
(-0.03)
Score analysis
Lille
63.96%
Draw
20.26%
Nantes
15.77%
Lille
2-0
@
10.8%
▼
(-0.02)
1-0 @ 10.45% ▼ (-0.11)
2-1 @ 9.91% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.45% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 6.83% ▲ (+0.06)
4-0 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.07)
4-1 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.04)
5-1 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 63.96%
1-0 @ 10.45% ▼ (-0.11)
2-1 @ 9.91% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.45% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 6.83% ▲ (+0.06)
4-0 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.07)
4-1 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.04)
5-1 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 63.96%
Draw
1-1
@
9.58%
▼
(-0.09)
0-0 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 4.54% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 20.26%
0-0 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 4.54% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 20.26%
Nantes
0-1
@
4.64%
▼
(-0.09)
1-2 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 15.77%
1-2 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 15.77%