Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 2

Aug 20, 2023 at 12pm UK

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille
2 - 0
Nantes

David (66'), Ounas (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pallois (32'), Castelletto (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nice 1-1 Lille
Friday, August 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nantes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nantes 1-2 Toulouse
Sunday, August 13 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 63.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 15.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lille in this match.

Result
Lille	Draw	Nantes
63.96% ( 0.34)	20.26% ( -0.17)	15.77% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 52.43% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.34% (

0.42)

42.66% (

-0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.94% (

0.42)

65.06% (

-0.42)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.35% (

0.23)

12.65% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.2% (

0.47)

38.79% (

-0.47)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.03% (

0.03)

39.97% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.37% (

0.03)

76.62% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Lille 63.96%

Nantes 15.77%

Draw 20.26%

Lille	Draw	Nantes
2-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 10.45% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.33% Total : 63.96%	1-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.26%	0-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 15.77%