Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1

Aug 11, 2023 at 8pm UK

Allianz Riviera

Nice
1 - 1
Lille

Laborde (18')
Atal (35'), Laborde (45+2'), Thuram (55')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Diakite (90+4')
Arnar Haraldsson (38'), Santos (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions

Last Game: Nice 3-1 Lyon
Saturday, June 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Lille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Brentford 0-0 Lille
Saturday, August 5 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Nice had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Nice	Draw	Lille
31.77% ( -0.22)	26.7% ( -0.09)	41.53% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 51.03% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.15% (

0.28)

53.85% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.69% (

0.24)

75.31% (

-0.24)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.57% (

-0)

31.43% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.19% (

-0.01)

67.8% (

0.01)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.42% (

0.29)

25.58% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.54% (

0.39)

60.46% (

-0.39)

Score Analysis

Nice 31.77%

Lille 41.53%

Draw 26.69%

Nice	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 9.31% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 31.77%	1-1 @ 12.68% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.69%	0-1 @ 10.96% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.35% Total : 41.53%