Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38

Jun 3, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade Municipal du Ray

Nice
3 - 1
Lyon

Boateng (5' og.), Laborde (28'), Moffi (33')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Jeffinho (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions

Last Game: Montpellier 2-3 Nice
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lyon

All competitions

Last Game: Lyon 3-0 Reims
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Lyon win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
Nice	Draw	Lyon
37.81% ( 0.37)	26.05% ( -0.05)	36.14% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 54.05% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.6% (

0.19)

50.39% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.66% (

0.17)

72.33% (

-0.17)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.99% (

0.29)

26% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.97% (

0.4)

61.02% (

-0.4)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.04% (

-0.1)

26.95% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.71% (

-0.13)

62.29% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Nice 37.81%

Lyon 36.14%

Draw 26.04%

Nice	Draw	Lyon
1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.4% Total : 37.81%	1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.04%	0-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.09% Total : 36.14%