MX23RW : Monday, December 4 16:23:36| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38
Jun 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Municipal du Ray
Lyon
Nice
3 - 1
Lyon
Boateng (5' og.), Laborde (28'), Moffi (33')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Jeffinho (41')
Lukeba (49')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montpellier 2-3 Nice
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 3-0 Reims
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nice 1-2 Lyon

Lyon have been one of the best sides in France during 2023, and even though they will fancy their chances to win here, it will surely not be enough to claim a spot in Europe. Despite a run of five wins in their last seven home league games against Lyon, Nice face a very in-form outfit, determined to finish the season strongly. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Lyon win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
NiceDrawLyon
37.81% (0.367 0.37) 26.05% (-0.049000000000003 -0.05) 36.14% (-0.323 -0.32)
Both teams to score 54.05% (0.147 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.6% (0.19 0.19)50.39% (-0.197 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.66% (0.169 0.17)72.33% (-0.175 -0.17)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.99% (0.294 0.29)26% (-0.301 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.97% (0.397 0.4)61.02% (-0.403 -0.4)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.04% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)26.95% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.71% (-0.127 -0.13)62.29% (0.121 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Nice 37.81%
    Lyon 36.14%
    Draw 26.04%
NiceDrawLyon
1-0 @ 9.44% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 8.34% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.36% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.74% (0.056 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.86% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 37.81%
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.01% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.04%
0-1 @ 9.19% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
1-2 @ 8.11% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.02% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.55% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.63% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 36.14%

How you voted: Nice vs Lyon

Nice
20.0%
Draw
22.9%
Lyon
57.1%
35
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2022 8pm
gameweek 15
Lyon
1-1
Nice
Lacazette (89' pen.)
Pepe (38' pen.)
Feb 12, 2022 8pm
gameweek 24
Lyon
2-0
Nice
Dembele (8' pen.), Toko Ekambi (52')

Todibo (50')
Oct 24, 2021 12pm
gameweek 11
Nice
3-2
Lyon
Atal (81'), Delort (89' pen.), Guessand (90+1')
Guessand (90+2')
Toko Ekambi (35'), Aouar (68')
Kadewere (85')
May 23, 2021 8pm
gameweek 38
Lyon
2-3
Nice
Toko Ekambi (14', 40')
Marcelo (56')
Dolberg (27'), Kamara (50'), Saliba (57')
Thuram (45+1'), Todibo (65')
Dec 19, 2020 8pm
gameweek 16
Nice
1-4
Lyon
Gouiri (44')
Thuram (57')
Depay (32' pen.), Kadewere (39'), Toko Ekambi (63'), Aouar (73')
Cornet (66')
rhs 2.0
MLS Apple TV+ Messi promo
Today's games header
FT
Chiefs
19-27
Packers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14103136112533
2Nice14851145929
3MonacoMonaco1483329191027
4Lille147521911826
5Reims147252019123
6Lens146441915422
7Brest136341714321
8NantesNantes145361823-518
9Marseille134541514117
10Le HavreLe Havre143741215-316
11Metz144461522-716
12Rennes143651919015
13Montpellier HSCMontpellier143561720-313
14Toulouse142751418-413
15StrasbourgStrasbourg133461118-713
16Lorient142661825-712
17Clermont14248921-1210
18Lyon131481124-137

MLS Apple TV+ Messi promo
New Apple Music general promo - 300x250

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!