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Ligue 1

Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 37
May 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Nice

Montpellier
2 - 3
Nice

Savanier (7', 17' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)
Barkley (53'), Laborde (67', 79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Nantes 0-3 Montpellier
Saturday, May 20 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Nice

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 0-0 Toulouse
Sunday, May 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawNice
30.45% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)25.46% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)44.09% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.38% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.75% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)49.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.69% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)71.31% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.99% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)30.01% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.87% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)66.13% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)22.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.25% (0.010999999999996 0.01)55.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 30.45%
    Nice 44.09%
    Draw 25.46%
Montpellier HSCDrawNice
1-0 @ 8.05% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 7.27% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 4.85% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 30.45%
1-1 @ 12.08%
0-0 @ 6.69%
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.46%
0-1 @ 10.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.07% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 4.54% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 3.77% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.73%
1-4 @ 1.7% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.41%
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 44.09%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Nice

Montpellier HSC
63.3%
Draw
21.7%
Nice
15.0%
60
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2023 8pm
gameweek 18
Nice
6-1
Montpellier
Pepe (15', 56'), Thuram (35'), Delort (75'), Barkley (82', 85')
Pepe (63')
Savanier (80')
Khazri (63')
Mar 12, 2022 4pm
gameweek 28
Montpellier
0-0
Nice

Esteve (20'), Wahi (69'), Makouana (90+1')

Lotomba (22'), Boudaoui (32')
Dante (35')
Nov 7, 2021 4pm
gameweek 13
Nice
0-1
Montpellier

Thuram (63'), Bard (77')
Mollet (80')
Apr 25, 2021 12pm
gameweek 34
Nice
3-1
Montpellier
Laborde (3'), Boudaoui (6'), Todibo (39'), Claude-Maurice (40')
Mollet (56'), Boudaoui (59'), Wahi (66')
Sep 12, 2020 4pm
gameweek 3
Montpellier
3-1
Nice
Laborde (18'), Congre (50', 64')
Dante (69')
Maolida (40'), Dolberg (82')